Merrimack
W-L: (21-16) PR = 97.9114Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 H UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 0- 4 1010 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 4- 1 1018 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 5- 1 1024 A Quinnipiac ECAC (27-11, 98.8) 4- 1 1025 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 2- 5 1101 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 1- 5 1107 H Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 2- 3 1108 A Boston Univ HE (16-17, 97.6) 4- 5 1114 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 4 1115 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 3- 2 1121 H LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 6- 2 1126 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 5 1129 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 0- 1 1205 A Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 0- 3 1206 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 5 1212 A Yale ECAC ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 1 1213 A LIU IND (11-16, 96.7) 4- 2 1229 H Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 4 103 H Brown ECAC ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 2 110 H Holy Cross AH (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 116 A UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 2- 4 117 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 1- 3 122 A Northeastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 123 A Northeastern HE (18-18, 97.9) 3- 1 130 A New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 2- 1 131 H New Hamp HE (14-21, 96.6) 3- 3 203 H Stonehill IND (10-22, 96.5) 9- 5 213 A Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 4- 2 214 H Boston Col HE (21-15, 98.5) 2- 4 220 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 3- 5 221 H Maine HE (18-14, 98.4) 2- 5 227 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 228 A Vermont HE (13-21, 96.5) 4- 4 305 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 5- 3 311 A UMass Lowell HE (13-22, 97.1) 5- 3 314 H Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 3- 2 320 H UMass HE (22-13, 98.3) 2- 0 321 H Connecticut HE (20-13, 98.5) 2- 1 326 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 0- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 H UMass Lowell 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.83
1010 A UMass Lowell 4- 1 3 1 + 2.19
1018 A New Hamp 5- 1 4 1 + 2.67
1024 A Quinnipiac 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.87
1025 A LIU 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.24
1101 H Connecticut 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.45
1107 H Boston Univ 2- 3 -1 0 -1.30
1108 A Boston Univ 4- 5 -1 0 -1.28
1114 H Providence 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.97
1115 A Providence 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.05
1121 H LIU 6- 2 4 1 + 2.74
1126 A Notre Dame 4- 5 -1 1 -1.71
1205 A Connecticut 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.43
1206 H Connecticut 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.45
1212 A Yale 4- 1 3 2 1.34
1213 A LIU 4- 2 2 1 0.76
1229 H Vermont 5- 4 1 1 -0.45
103 H Brown 3- 2 1 2 -1.42
110 H Holy Cross 5- 2 3 1 + 2.11
116 A UMass 2- 4 -2 0 -1.65
117 H UMass 1- 3 -2 0 -1.67
122 A Northeastern 4- 1 3 0 + 2.96
123 A Northeastern 3- 1 2 0 1.96
130 A New Hamp 2- 1 1 1 -0.33
131 H New Hamp 3- 3 0 1 -1.35
203 H Stonehill 9- 5 4 1 + 2.53
213 A Boston Col 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.59
214 H Boston Col 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.43
220 H Maine 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.48
221 H Maine 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.48
227 A Vermont 5- 2 3 1 1.57
228 A Vermont 4- 4 0 1 -1.43
305 A UMass Lowell 5- 3 2 1 1.19
311 A UMass Lowell 5- 3 2 1 1.19
314 H Providence 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.03
320 H UMass 2- 0 2 0 + 2.33
321 H Connecticut 2- 1 1 -1 1.55
326 H North Dakota 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1003 H UMass Lowell 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.83 1025 A LIU 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.24 1101 H Connecticut 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.45 1205 A Connecticut 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.43 1206 H Connecticut 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.45 221 H Maine 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A UMass Lowell 4- 1 3 1 + 2.19 1018 A New Hamp 5- 1 4 1 + 2.67 1024 A Quinnipiac 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.87 1115 A Providence 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.05 1121 H LIU 6- 2 4 1 + 2.74 110 H Holy Cross 5- 2 3 1 + 2.11 122 A Northeastern 4- 1 3 0 + 2.96 203 H Stonehill 9- 5 4 1 + 2.53 213 A Boston Col 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.59 314 H Providence 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.03 320 H UMass 2- 0 2 0 + 2.33 |
Merrimack Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Army | Army | Army 5- 1 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Bentley | Merrimack | Merrimack 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Canisius | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Holy Cross | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Mercyhurst | Merrimack | Merrimack 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Niagara | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| RIT | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Rob Morris | Merrimack | Merrimack 2- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sacred Heart | Merrimack | Merrimack 4- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Minnesota | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 3) | Merrimack | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Wisconsin | |
| Augustana | Augustana | Augustana | ||
| Bemidji St | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Bowl Green | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Ferris St | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| L Superor | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Mich Tech | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Minn St | Merrimack | Merrimack 2- 1 vs 0- 0 | ||
| No Mich | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Alaska | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Alaska Anch | Merrimack | Merrimack 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lindenwood | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| LIU | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Stonehill | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Brown | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Clarkson | Merrimack | Merrimack 4- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Colgate | Merrimack | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 3) | Merrimack | |
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 4) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Harvard | Merrimack | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Merrimack | |
| Princeton | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Merrimack | |
| Quinnipiac | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| RPI | Merrimack | Merrimack 7- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| St Lawrence | Merrimack | Merrimack 5- 3 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Union | Union | Union 3- 0 vs 5- 2 | ||
| Yale | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Boston Col | Boston Col | insuffient: ( 5- 5)( 6- 3) | Boston Col | |
| Boston Univ | Boston Univ | Boston Univ | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Maine | Maine | Maine | ||
| UMass | UMass | UMass | ||
| New Hamp | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Northeastern | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Providence | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| UMass Lowell | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Vermont | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Arizona St | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Colorado Col | Colorado Col | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Colorado Col | |
| Denver | Denver | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 2) | Denver | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Minn Duluth | |
| North Dakota | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Omaha | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 3) | Merrimack | |
| St Cloud St | St Cloud St | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 2) | St Cloud St | |
| Western Mich | Western Mich | Western Mich 3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
PowerWise = 38
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 H UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 0- 4 -2.80 1.85 -0.01 0.93 -1.31
1 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 4- 1 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.93 3.45
1 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 5- 1 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.93 2.47
1 A Quinnipiac (27-11, 98.8) 4- 1 -1.13 3.52 0.01 0.93 6.57
1 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 2- 5 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.93 -1.50
1 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 1- 5 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.93 -0.67
1 H Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 2- 3 -2.28 2.37 -0.01 0.93 -1.06
1 A Boston Univ (16-17, 97.6) 4- 5 -2.28 2.37 0.01 0.93 -1.05
1 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 4 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.93 -0.45
1 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 3- 2 -0.95 3.70 0.01 0.93 6.90
1 H LIU (11-16, 96.7) 6- 2 -3.24 1.41 -0.01 0.93 2.61
1 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 4- 5 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.93 -1.26
1 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 0- 1 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.93 -0.66
1 A Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 0- 3 -1.43 3.22 0.01 0.93 -0.66
1 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.93 -0.67
1 A Yale ( 8-22, 96.2) 4- 1 -3.66 1.00 0.01 0.93 1.88
1 A LIU (11-16, 96.7) 4- 2 -3.24 1.41 0.01 0.93 2.65
1 H Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 4 -3.43 1.22 -0.01 0.93 2.26
1 H Brown ( 5-24, 95.5) 3- 2 -4.40 1.00 -0.01 0.93 1.84
1 H Holy Cross (18-18, 97.0) 5- 2 -2.87 1.78 -0.01 0.93 3.30
1 A UMass (22-13, 98.3) 2- 4 -1.64 3.00 0.01 0.93 -0.76
1 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 1- 3 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.93 -0.77
1 A Northeastern (18-18, 97.9) 4- 1 -2.04 2.61 0.01 0.93 4.88
1 A Northeastern (18-18, 97.9) 3- 1 -2.04 2.61 0.01 0.93 4.88
1 A New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.33 1.32 0.01 0.93 2.47
1 H New Hamp (14-21, 96.6) 3- 3 -3.33 1.32 -0.01 0.93 0.00
1 H Stonehill (10-22, 96.5) 9- 5 -3.44 1.20 -0.01 0.93 2.22
1 A Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 4- 2 -1.41 3.24 0.01 0.93 6.05
1 H Boston Col (21-15, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.41 3.24 -0.01 0.93 -0.66
1 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 3- 5 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.93 -0.68
1 H Maine (18-14, 98.4) 2- 5 -1.45 3.19 -0.01 0.93 -0.68
1 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 5- 2 -3.43 1.22 0.01 0.93 2.29
1 A Vermont (13-21, 96.5) 4- 4 -3.43 1.22 0.01 0.93 0.00
1 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 5- 3 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.93 3.45
1 A UMass Lowell (13-22, 97.1) 5- 3 -2.80 1.85 0.01 0.93 3.45
1 H Providence (22-11, 98.9) 3- 2 -0.95 3.70 -0.01 0.93 6.86
1 H UMass (22-13, 98.3) 2- 0 -1.64 3.00 -0.01 0.93 5.57
1 H Connecticut (20-13, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.43 3.22 -0.01 0.93 5.98
1 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 0- 3 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.93 -0.15
------
69.06
|
winning pts = 82.0535 losing points = -12.9946
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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